Monday, June 18, 2012

perfect

i hope this doesn't sound like one big humble brag. that's annoying.

but any way, i was fortunate enough to attend matt cain's perfect game. it was a last second thing. tickets were cheap

ok the game was amazing, but after, i couldn't help but try and put the game into perspective. how much was that experience worth to me? what would i trade it for?

these are my thoughts post perfect game. here's the breakdown, i paid $10 for tickets. but after the game, i kept thinking (i actually think about this stuff to myself, weird i know), how much was that experience  worth to me? like, let's say i didn't go to the game, how much would i pay the baseball gods to allow me to take back the time, and attend the full game? i'm thinking that number is around $1,000? i dont know, maybe that's too high. ballpark #

here's another, what would i trade it for? would i trade the perfect game experience for game 1 of the 2010 world series? i've thought about this for a couple days now, and i have concluded that i would trade the perfect game in favor of game 1 of the world series. here's why, if you had tickets for game 1 of the world series, you have a few days leading up to the game to be excited/anxious. there's no such thing as a bad day leading up to game 1 of the world series. there is value in the build up. in this case, i honestly didn't know cain was throwing a perfect game until the 6th inning. not much build up. when i looked at the scoreboard and saw that the astros had no hits, i said "oh shit", then i checked my phone and saw cain had no walks, "oh shit". but yeah, every pitch after that was a very good sweat, i was literally jumping up and down in the 8th inning like a weirdo. i couldn't help it. but my point is, that feeling lasted about 1 hour. it was a crazy high that i'll never feel again. but yeah, there was no build up.

ok so here's another thing. i paid $10 for the tickets, and i essentially got about $1,000 (probably less) of value out of them. i'm running above EV (expected value), which means i could expect a reversion to the mean (aka some bad shit happening to me). ok, let's say when i was driving home after the game, and i'm at a stop sign, some crazy crackhead takes a bat and smashes my car windows. and i ask him "the fuckkk was that for?" and he just says "this is the reversion to the mean, you saw the perfect game, which provided you major value, this is just to even things out." i mean, being an EV-addict (expected value is interesting to me), i can't argue with him, i can only say "ahh, you right"

damn it, this is just a humble brag. jill is right, i'm annoying

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